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Updates and Lessons from AI Forecasting

Earlier this year, my research group commissioned 6 questions [https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=JSAI] for professional forecasters to predict about AI. Broadly speaking, 2 were on geopolitical aspects of AI and 4 were on future capabilities: * Geopolitical: * How much larger or smaller will the



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Updates and Lessons from AI Forecasting

https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/ai-forecasting

Earlier this year, my research group commissioned 6 questions [https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=JSAI] for professional forecasters to predict about AI. Broadly speaking, 2 were on geopolitical aspects of AI and 4 were on future capabilities: * Geopolitical: * How much larger or smaller will the



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https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/ai-forecasting

Updates and Lessons from AI Forecasting

Earlier this year, my research group commissioned 6 questions [https://prod.hypermind.com/ngdp/en/showcase2/showcase.html?sc=JSAI] for professional forecasters to predict about AI. Broadly speaking, 2 were on geopolitical aspects of AI and 4 were on future capabilities: * Geopolitical: * How much larger or smaller will the

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