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Common Probability Distributions

When we output a forecast, we're either explicitly or implicitly outputting a probability distribution. For example, if we forecast the AQI in Berkeley tomorrow to be "around" 30, plus or minus 10, we implicitly mean some distribution that has most of its probability mass between 20 and 40. If we



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Common Probability Distributions

https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/common-probability-distributions

When we output a forecast, we're either explicitly or implicitly outputting a probability distribution. For example, if we forecast the AQI in Berkeley tomorrow to be "around" 30, plus or minus 10, we implicitly mean some distribution that has most of its probability mass between 20 and 40. If we



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https://bounded-regret.ghost.io/common-probability-distributions

Common Probability Distributions

When we output a forecast, we're either explicitly or implicitly outputting a probability distribution. For example, if we forecast the AQI in Berkeley tomorrow to be "around" 30, plus or minus 10, we implicitly mean some distribution that has most of its probability mass between 20 and 40. If we

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