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https://substack.com/@danspokojny/note/c-146731932

Dan Spokojny (@danspokojny)

Yes, this makes sense to me, and I agree. Another example: if you go "all in" on a bad hand in poker and get a lucky draw, that doesn't mean you made a good decision, even if you end up winning. Focusing on the quality of the process itself reminds me of an article a colleague wrote about evaluating foreign policy success. You might enjoy it: https://www.fp21.org/publications/evaluating-policy-success-and-failure-in-foreign-policy-a-better-approach



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Dan Spokojny (@danspokojny)

https://substack.com/@danspokojny/note/c-146731932

Yes, this makes sense to me, and I agree. Another example: if you go "all in" on a bad hand in poker and get a lucky draw, that doesn't mean you made a good decision, even if you end up winning. Focusing on the quality of the process itself reminds me of an article a colleague wrote about evaluating foreign policy success. You might enjoy it: https://www.fp21.org/publications/evaluating-policy-success-and-failure-in-foreign-policy-a-better-approach



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https://substack.com/@danspokojny/note/c-146731932

Dan Spokojny (@danspokojny)

Yes, this makes sense to me, and I agree. Another example: if you go "all in" on a bad hand in poker and get a lucky draw, that doesn't mean you made a good decision, even if you end up winning. Focusing on the quality of the process itself reminds me of an article a colleague wrote about evaluating foreign policy success. You might enjoy it: https://www.fp21.org/publications/evaluating-policy-success-and-failure-in-foreign-policy-a-better-approach

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      Dan Spokojny (@danspokojny): "Yes, this makes sense to me, and I agree. Another example: if you go "all in" on a bad hand in poker and get a lucky draw, that doesn't mean you made a good decision, even if you end up winning. Focusing on the quality of the process itself reminds me of an article a colleague w…"
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